Five and a half years of EVFTA — what Vietnam cashew gained, and what's coming next

EVFTA timeline for cashew

  • 1 Aug 2020: In force — 71% of Vietnam's goods to EU at 0% tariff immediately
  • Target 2027: 100% of goods at 0% tariff (seven years after entry into force)
  • Cashew kernel W240/W320: within the immediate 0% group from 2020 (EVFTA Annex 2-A)

Real-world results (5.5 years in)

  • Germany: +26% in Q1/2026 [VINACAS bv4139] — fastest-growing market
  • Netherlands: USD 82 million in Q1/2026 (-3%) — stable at scale
  • EU total: ~21% of Vietnam's cashew exports in Q1/2026
  • EVFTA impact: tariff barriers removed → Vietnamese cashew directly competitive with Indian and processed African origin

3 new policy risks for 2026-2027

  1. CBAM (Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism) — EU imposes carbon-cost tariffs on imports from 2026

    • Impact: without carbon data for the supply chain, EU buyers will "self-estimate" — usually higher than reality → higher levies
    • Action: track carbon from raw source (CIV) through VN processing to shipping
  2. Tightening food-safety standards — Salmonella, Listeria, heavy metals [VINACAS bv4135]

    • US FSMA enforcement is intensifying; EU is tightening novel food and Regulation 2073/2005 microbiological criteria
    • Buyers will demand heavier documentation
  3. Digital traceability expectation

    • EU: EUDR (Deforestation Regulation) applies to several agri-commodities from 2026
    • Cashew is not yet on the EUDR list, but digital traceability expectations will spread

3 opportunities for EU buyers

  1. Price advantage: VN cashew W320 enters the EU at 0% duty vs India at MFN ~0-4% — a sustained cost edge
  2. Single-origin story: EVFTA + transparent CIV/Cambodia/VN origin = a story asset for premium EU retail positioning
  3. Bi-directional partnership: EU buyers can lock Hotanuts as their "trusted VN trade house" for long-term supply, reducing annual supplier-rediscovery risk

Hotanuts positioning for the EVFTA era

Hotanuts exports to 9 EU and non-EU markets: TR, NL, UK (post-Brexit), GR, CN, MY, IL, JO, LT. Among these, NL and GR are direct EU.

We are preparing:

  • Carbon data collection for the CIV→VN→EU chain — starting Q3/2026
  • EUDR-ready traceability — preparing for future requirements even though cashew is not yet mandatory
  • BRCGS audit Q3/2026 — the step into premium EU retail tier

Action for EU buyers reading this

  • If you already source Vietnamese cashew: verify that your supplier issues an EVFTA Certificate of Origin (form EUR.1) per lot → this secures your zero-duty benefit
  • Assess your carbon chain — Hotanuts can contribute sourcing data for your CBAM compliance reporting